Good new, bad news

I want to start with something you don’t get from me very often: good news.

The new polling is in, and it’s good. Not “let’s get overconfident and start measuring drapes” good, but good. Democrats are leading the generic ballot by more than 7 points nationally. That’s the kind of number that, in 2018, turned into a 41-seat wave. We’re competitive in places Republicans thought were locked down. 

We apparently weren’t the only ones seeing those numbers.

Worried that his disastrous first two years of his term would sink Republicans, Trump and his operation — MAGA Inc. and friends — just dropped more than $150 million in new ad reservations in the last two weeks. In Texas, they’re outspending Democrats more than 4-to-1 to keep Ken Paxton afloat.

So that’s where we are. Good polls. Very bad money.

Here’s the thing about a wave: it doesn’t build itself. It gets built by people who decide they’re not sitting this one out. 

I’ve been around politics long enough to know the difference between a good poll and an Election Day victory is what happens between now and November. Trump’s betting that money beats momentum. I’d like to prove him wrong.

Let’s not let a nine-figure ad blitz turn a winnable year into a normal one.

Al

P.S. $150 million in two weeks. I thought my races were expensive, but that’s Trump’s inflation for you.

Midwest Values PAC supports candidates & causes that share our values.

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Somehow, it’s been 20 years since I started Midwest Values PAC to help Democrats win elections — from progressive organizations to state legislatures to Congress to the White House — who share the values I grew up with in St. Louis Park, Minnesota.

Since 2006, Midwest Values PAC has invested more than $4 million in 341 candidates and organizations — and counting. 

Of course, none of this happens without you (or supporters like you) who care enough to pitch in.

As we mark our 20th anniversary, the work is more urgent than ever. This year, we have a big job: flip the House, take the Senate, and win up and down the ballot at the state and local level.

To mark our 20th year, we’ve set an ambitious goal: 26,000 contributions by Election Day 2026.

Thanks for being part of this fight, and for sticking with us for 20 years (or for just joining — welcome!).

Al

P.S. Over the years, okay, decades, we’ve helped Democrats win tough races all across the country by investing early, intelligently, and strategically. That’s how you flip seats. That’s how you protect democracy. And that’s how you stop the worst impulses of a president who never should have been president in the first place.